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Red117
248586.2
292839.6
76626.6
Blue159
1678106.6
186822.7
213535.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157132050100200250300117159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#13
86.21.8
87.485.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.4
106.61.2
97.098.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2928
#17
39.61.8
43.842.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
2135
#21
35.41.2
17.218.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
766
#32
26.61.8
22.020.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
1868
#24
22.71.2
21.222.4
Auto
Teleop
End