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Red146
420139.3
131870.1
348221.2
Blue232
513633.1
167160.3
254113.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100208050150250300350146232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#23
70.11.5
61.062.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 43.7
254
#5
113.82.0
104.5106.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4201
#27
39.31.5
36.738.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.0
1671
#18
60.32.0
53.755.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3482
#19
21.21.5
19.020.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.9
33.12.0
33.735.7
Auto
Teleop
End