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Red176
330956.6
97190.9
348221.2
Blue157
76626.6
198353.4
19241.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172102050150200250300176157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#3
90.90.7
85.286.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 37.5
1983
#20
53.42.2
50.252.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3309
#10
56.60.7
55.456.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.9
192
#33
41.72.2
39.541.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3482
#19
21.20.7
20.521.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
766
#32
26.62.2
23.225.5
Auto
Teleop
End