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Red250
167893.0
164064.1
111495.3
Blue280
469101.4
284849.7
254120.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions249275100200300400500250280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
Unranked
95.30.0
95.495.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.7
254
Unranked
120.10.2
119.9120.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1678
Unranked
93.00.0
93.193.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
469
Unranked
101.40.2
101.3101.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1640
Unranked
64.10.0
64.164.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.4
2848
Unranked
49.70.2
49.649.7
Auto
Teleop
End