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Red141
113852.1
254332.8
331063.5
Blue119
66236.3
299649.5
141034.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155114050200250300350400141119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.50.1
63.763.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.1
49.50.0
49.549.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
52.10.1
52.252.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.8
662
#34
36.30.0
36.336.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2543
#38
32.80.1
32.932.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto
Teleop
End