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Red30
356234.8
364318.3
459324.6
Blue132
158341.5
179919.8
299649.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667005010015020030132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3562
#27
34.81.8
39.737.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.7
49.53.1
41.044.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4593
#28
24.63.1
17.214.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.9
41.55.2
22.527.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3643
#41
18.33.1
9.86.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1799
#35
19.85.2
5.710.9
Auto
Teleop
End