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Red145
331063.5
158341.5
141034.4
Blue16
115720.1
438817.6
124532.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10553015020025014516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.52.4
39.842.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.0
1245
#10
32.53.7
20.416.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
41.54.0
27.731.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.4
1157
#33
20.13.7
20.516.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
34.42.4
29.531.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
4388
#45
17.63.7
20.016.3
Auto
Teleop
End