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Qual 262014 Colorado Regional
Red117
64939.3
161976.5
66236.3
Blue133
356234.8
198759.8
406820.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159107050200250300117133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#3
76.51.7
67.9→66.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 16.7
1987
#2
59.80.9
62.4→63.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
649
#13
39.31.7
44.5→42.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.5
3562
#27
34.80.9
37.9→38.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
662
#34
36.31.7
38.6→36.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 15.5
4068
#39
20.71.5
14.6→16.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—