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Red88
158341.5
324320.8
406820.7
Blue145
133220.9
331063.5
113852.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53111015020025088145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.52.2
31.833.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.0
63.52.2
42.244.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3243
#23
20.81.3
14.015.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.3
52.12.2
31.033.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4068
#39
20.72.2
16.118.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1332
#26
20.93.6
28.432.0
Auto
Teleop
End