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Red57
340313.2
208322.9
101131.5
Blue142
415343.0
406820.7
492827.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5364010015057142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1011
#12
31.50.1
21.821.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.6
4153
#14
43.04.0
36.340.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2083
#24
22.90.2
12.612.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
4928
#20
27.46.7
7.614.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3403
#49
13.20.2
20.420.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
4068
#39
20.76.7
18.324.9
Auto
Teleop
End