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Red38
136128.2
130317.1
380711.1
Blue101
115720.1
449926.2
158423.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237905010015038101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1361
#21
28.20.5
13.213.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
4499
#18
26.21.5
31.533.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1303
#37
17.10.5
8.69.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
1584
#15
23.22.6
19.822.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3807
#51
11.10.5
9.910.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
1157
#33
20.12.6
18.821.4
Auto
Teleop
End