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Red123
101131.5
254332.8
179919.8
Blue165
15921.5
158341.5
161976.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions411500100200250300350123165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2543
#38
32.83.2
23.426.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 43.7
76.51.6
73.775.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1011
#12
31.53.2
23.827.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
41.52.6
39.642.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1799
#35
19.85.4
11.116.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
159
#29
21.51.6
20.221.7
Auto
Teleop
End