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Red112
297238.7
356234.8
340313.2
Blue77
364818.8
455034.6
324320.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9250015020011277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.71.3
34.335.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
4550
#17
34.61.7
29.831.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3562
#27
34.81.3
35.036.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.0
3243
#23
20.81.0
18.619.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3403
#49
13.22.2
16.518.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
3648
#36
18.81.7
8.29.9
Auto
Teleop
End