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Red85
227521.0
531830.2
254332.8
Blue101
158423.2
415343.0
455034.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7810005015020085101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2543
#38
32.80.2
26.726.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
4153
#14
43.00.2
41.541.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5318
#25
30.20.3
33.033.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
4550
#17
34.60.3
31.531.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2275
#44
21.00.3
21.521.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
1584
#15
23.20.3
23.724.1
Auto
Teleop
End