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Red65
208322.9
179919.8
158423.2
Blue69
224020.0
297238.7
158341.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions529501502006569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1584
#15
23.20.4
24.124.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.3
41.51.4
41.440.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2083
#24
22.90.4
17.117.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.8
38.71.0
36.435.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1799
#35
19.80.4
17.718.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2240
#11
20.01.4
10.38.9
Auto
Teleop
End