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Qual 82014 Colorado Regional
Red31
179919.8
198759.8
492827.4
Blue17
133925.0
20367.4
115720.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1005201502002503117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#2
59.83.8
65.5→61.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 34.8
1339
#30
25.02.1
23.2→21.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4928
#20
27.418.6
27.4→8.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.3
1157
#33
20.13.6
18.3→14.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1799
#35
19.85.1
13.2→8.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.4
2036
#50
7.43.6
18.2→14.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—