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Red159
294538.5
494441.4
364318.3
Blue180
130317.1
124532.5
331063.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90103050150200250159180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.43.3
39.643.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.2
63.53.9
61.465.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2945
#16
38.54.1
38.442.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
1245
#10
32.54.8
27.732.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3643
#41
18.34.1
14.218.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1303
#37
17.14.8
12.317.1
Auto
Teleop
End