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Red105
371910.3
19558.2
7837.3
Blue99
371816.4
17832.8
109925.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1146705010015020010599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
58.20.0
58.458.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.4
178
#15
32.80.4
32.933.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
78
#3
37.30.0
37.537.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
1099
#27
25.10.4
25.225.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3719
#26
10.30.0
10.510.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
3718
#11
16.40.4
16.416.8
Auto
Teleop
End