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Red196
206756.8
514225.2
17832.8
Blue99
318219.3
371910.3
109925.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9360015020025019699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.89.0
37.046.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.7
1099
#27
25.12.8
28.631.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
178
#15
32.89.0
33.042.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
3182
#28
19.32.8
15.017.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5142
#22
25.29.0
17.526.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.9
3719
#26
10.32.8
21.424.2
Auto
Teleop
End