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Red121
455717.4
18143.0
19558.2
Blue108
318219.3
206436.1
217027.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12676050100150200250121108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
58.20.3
50.550.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.1
2064
#13
36.12.0
41.543.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
181
#9
43.00.3
48.949.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.8
2170
#25
27.12.0
26.028.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4557
#20
17.40.3
18.518.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
3182
#28
19.32.0
16.218.2
Auto
Teleop
End