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Red105
363417.9
23650.5
55841.9
Blue126
169934.8
216839.8
371816.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8397050150200250300350105126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#5
50.51.7
38.440.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
39.82.6
38.340.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
558
#12
41.91.7
36.538.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
1699
#23
34.82.6
36.739.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3634
#30
17.91.7
10.011.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
3718
#11
16.42.6
19.822.4
Auto
Teleop
End