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Red77
55841.9
206436.1
355511.0
Blue136
23650.5
5714.1
109925.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6563020408010012014077136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#12
41.91.3
31.032.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
236
#5
50.55.8
29.034.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2064
#13
36.11.3
17.018.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.9
1099
#27
25.15.8
16.021.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3555
#24
11.01.3
13.414.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
571
#32
4.15.8
21.427.2
Auto
Teleop
End