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Red107
371910.3
22848.2
55841.9
Blue103
216839.8
365432.2
217027.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1059650150200107103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#2
48.20.3
48.148.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
39.80.5
40.941.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
558
#12
41.90.3
38.138.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
3654
#18
32.20.5
28.929.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3719
#26
10.30.3
16.917.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.9
2170
#25
27.10.5
27.227.7
Auto
Teleop
End