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Red28
405520.9
511220.6
12126.4
Blue43
206756.8
318219.3
28362.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74820501001502002503003502843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121
#21
26.43.2
31.228.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.4
56.82.7
51.749.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4055
#16
20.93.4
23.720.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
3182
#28
19.32.5
22.520.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5112
#17
20.63.4
20.617.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.0
2836
#33
2.62.5
6.23.7
Auto
Teleop
End