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Red82
23753.5
511220.6
318219.3
Blue120
365432.2
11248.1
7837.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions916705015020025082120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#8
53.50.3
49.449.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
78
#3
37.33.0
34.837.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5112
#17
20.60.3
17.817.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.7
3654
#18
32.23.0
28.231.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3182
#28
19.30.3
20.019.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
1124
#29
8.13.0
7.510.5
Auto
Teleop
End