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Red112
199126.8
169934.8
23051.4
Blue93
206756.8
12126.4
17543.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10113805020025030011293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#14
51.40.1
49.449.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
56.80.7
58.758.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1699
#23
34.80.1
32.933.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
175
#6
43.70.7
45.645.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1991
#10
26.80.1
24.824.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
121
#21
26.40.7
28.327.6
Auto
Teleop
End