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Red141
71652.2
23063.0
314621.6
Blue120
199143.3
352551.0
18151.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123109050150200250141120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#11
63.01.0
58.259.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
181
#19
51.10.4
43.043.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
716
#7
52.21.0
39.840.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
3525
#10
51.00.4
41.341.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3146
#33
21.61.0
22.723.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.7
43.30.4
26.827.2
Auto
Teleop
End