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Red128
22853.3
405552.8
23063.0
Blue105
23660.8
310425.0
457218.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16071050100200250300128105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#11
63.00.9
59.258.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
236
#6
60.81.0
51.252.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
228
#18
53.30.9
46.245.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.3
3104
#37
25.01.0
28.529.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
52.80.9
40.940.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 34.0
4572
#26
18.71.0
5.26.2
Auto
Teleop
End