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Red88
318225.9
495831.8
278517.8
Blue106
199143.3
314621.6
405552.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55101015020025088106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4958
#28
31.81.3
27.428.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.0
52.80.6
40.040.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3182
#29
25.91.3
19.721.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.4
43.30.6
32.533.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2785
#34
17.81.3
15.416.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
3146
#33
21.60.6
21.622.2
Auto
Teleop
End