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Red103
409731.3
310425.0
455732.4
Blue186
55864.8
23829.0
17774.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641480100200250300350103186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4557
#25
32.41.3
21.923.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 41.7
177
#2
74.22.6
57.860.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4097
#31
31.31.3
25.827.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 33.5
558
#1
64.82.6
54.056.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3104
#37
25.01.3
29.530.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
238
#36
29.02.6
23.225.8
Auto
Teleop
End