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Red103
206755.2
23829.0
514225.6
Blue141
23063.0
99927.7
168713.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11981050100150200103141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#20
55.20.5
61.260.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
230
#11
63.02.7
55.358.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
238
#36
29.00.5
24.323.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
999
#13
27.72.7
20.423.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5142
#21
25.60.5
27.126.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
1687
#30
13.82.7
11.213.9
Auto
Teleop
End