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Red158
17666.3
363428.7
199143.3
Blue76
22853.3
512930.6
462820.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1379505020025030015876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#5
66.31.4
64.065.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.0
228
#18
53.31.3
48.847.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
43.31.4
40.541.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
5129
#17
30.61.3
34.333.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
28.71.4
25.827.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
4628
#14
20.91.3
18.217.0
Auto
Teleop
End