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Red165
23660.8
17577.7
352551.0
Blue101
455732.4
457218.7
405552.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18764050100150250300165101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#3
77.70.1
68.168.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.9
52.80.9
46.347.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
236
#6
60.80.1
53.753.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.3
4557
#25
32.40.9
27.728.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3525
#10
51.00.1
45.745.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.3
4572
#26
18.70.9
9.410.3
Auto
Teleop
End