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Red182
112430.0
55864.8
23063.0
Blue68
409731.3
356634.5
405552.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1529205020025030035018268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#1
64.82.0
60.962.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
52.81.7
47.245.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
230
#11
63.02.0
59.661.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.5
3566
#27
34.51.7
25.123.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1124
#15
30.02.0
21.723.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
4097
#31
31.31.7
29.327.6
Auto
Teleop
End