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Red43
168713.8
217028.3
310425.0
Blue136
17847.0
346435.5
352551.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57121010015020025030043136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2170
#35
28.31.2
24.022.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.7
3525
#10
51.01.3
43.044.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3104
#37
25.01.2
29.528.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.9
178
#24
47.01.3
39.340.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1687
#30
13.81.2
13.712.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.7
3464
#12
35.51.3
28.329.6
Auto
Teleop
End