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Red132
71652.2
457218.7
22853.3
Blue58
99927.7
199143.3
278517.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1058105015020025030013258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#18
53.31.5
45.246.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
43.31.4
42.240.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
716
#7
52.21.5
46.848.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.5
999
#13
27.71.4
27.526.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4572
#26
18.71.5
9.711.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2785
#34
17.81.4
15.213.9
Auto
Teleop
End