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Red119
318225.9
409731.3
57120.7
Blue151
355515.9
23660.8
206755.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions551350100150200250119151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4097
#31
31.32.6
28.230.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.5
236
#6
60.81.4
55.757.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3182
#29
25.92.6
24.226.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.3
2067
#20
55.21.4
53.054.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
571
#16
20.72.6
14.817.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
3555
#22
15.91.4
14.115.5
Auto
Teleop
End