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Red200
346435.5
17577.7
18151.1
Blue153
278517.8
455732.4
22853.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16276050100200250300200153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#3
77.72.6
70.973.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.4
228
#18
53.33.2
46.749.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
181
#19
51.12.6
47.750.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.6
4557
#25
32.43.2
28.831.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3464
#12
35.52.6
29.632.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.8
2785
#34
17.83.2
13.917.1
Auto
Teleop
End