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Red105
168713.8
455732.4
18151.1
Blue125
17666.3
310425.0
278517.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91115050150200250105125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
#19
51.10.5
50.350.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.2
176
#5
66.30.7
66.266.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4557
#25
32.40.5
31.932.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
3104
#37
25.00.7
28.228.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1687
#30
13.80.5
12.813.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
2785
#34
17.80.7
17.117.8
Auto
Teleop
End