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Red114
199143.3
55864.8
318225.9
Blue145
112430.0
99927.7
352551.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13990050200250114145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#1
64.80.9
63.262.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.7
3525
#10
51.02.3
48.450.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
43.30.9
41.740.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
1124
#15
30.02.3
24.426.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3182
#29
25.90.9
26.825.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
999
#13
27.72.3
25.327.6
Auto
Teleop
End