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Red176
17774.2
512930.6
55864.8
Blue141
356634.5
23660.8
199143.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172132050100150200250300350176141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#2
74.20.2
72.873.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
236
#6
60.80.0
60.760.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
558
#1
64.80.2
63.463.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.5
43.30.0
43.343.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5129
#17
30.60.2
29.329.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
3566
#27
34.50.0
34.534.5
Auto
Teleop
End