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Red155
17661.3
318228.1
216857.9
Blue106
365427.4
206444.7
455728.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14992050200250300350155106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
Unranked
61.30.3
58.859.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.6
2064
Unranked
44.70.1
44.844.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2168
Unranked
57.90.3
55.455.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.6
4557
Unranked
28.30.1
28.428.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3182
Unranked
28.10.3
25.725.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
3654
Unranked
27.40.1
27.527.6
Auto
Teleop
End