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Red175
17319.4
99933.7
17780.2
Blue131
206766.9
216857.9
346427.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107156050200250300350400175131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
Unranked
80.23.0
67.570.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.3
2067
Unranked
66.90.9
63.862.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
999
Unranked
33.73.0
30.933.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.2
2168
Unranked
57.90.9
50.950.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
173
Unranked
19.43.0
16.219.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
3464
Unranked
27.10.9
34.133.2
Auto
Teleop
End