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Red106
199137.7
109938.0
18149.4
Blue117
371915.4
283616.9
55875.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13792050150200250106117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
Unranked
49.41.2
52.551.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.4
558
Unranked
75.90.9
64.265.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1099
Unranked
38.01.2
41.240.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.1
2836
Unranked
16.90.9
20.221.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1991
Unranked
37.71.2
36.235.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.2
3719
Unranked
15.40.9
14.815.7
Auto
Teleop
End