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Red147
22854.5
216857.9
174010.3
Blue166
206766.9
512930.9
169940.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106130050150200250300147166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
Unranked
57.91.9
48.450.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
2067
Unranked
66.92.0
62.364.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
228
Unranked
54.51.9
51.353.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.7
1699
Unranked
40.82.0
38.540.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1740
Unranked
10.31.9
9.711.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.6
5129
Unranked
30.92.0
25.327.3
Auto
Teleop
End