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Red80
17549.2
512930.9
109938.0
Blue192
206766.9
15542.7
199137.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11514405010020025030080192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
Unranked
49.22.0
52.150.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.7
2067
Unranked
66.92.6
64.367.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1099
Unranked
38.02.0
40.038.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
155
Unranked
42.72.6
40.242.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5129
Unranked
30.92.0
27.325.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
1991
Unranked
37.72.6
35.037.7
Auto
Teleop
End