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Red160
206444.7
17780.2
371915.4
Blue62
112424.3
17549.2
23044.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12916105010020025030016062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
Unranked
80.21.3
59.660.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.0
175
Unranked
49.24.7
65.560.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2064
Unranked
44.71.3
54.655.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
230
Unranked
44.14.7
60.555.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3719
Unranked
15.41.3
19.721.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
1124
Unranked
24.34.7
30.025.3
Auto
Teleop
End