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Semifinal 2-22014 CT State Championship
Red200
17661.3
216857.9
318228.1
Blue189
169940.8
15542.7
206766.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139154050100200250300350200189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
Unranked
61.31.0
59.2→60.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.6
2067
Unranked
66.90.6
67.3→67.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2168
Unranked
57.91.0
55.8→56.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 15.2
155
Unranked
42.70.6
43.2→43.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3182
Unranked
28.11.0
26.1→27.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 12.6
1699
Unranked
40.80.6
41.2→41.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—