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Red144
206760.2
363418.1
17561.6
Blue122
107119.9
346120.8
462811.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16427050100200250300144122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#2
61.60.0
62.662.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 40.9
3461
#23
20.81.2
19.520.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
60.20.0
61.261.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 40.3
19.91.2
18.719.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3634
#27
18.10.0
19.019.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
4628
#25
11.41.2
10.111.4
Auto
Teleop
End