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Red45
15533.3
346414.8
107119.9
Blue151
173544.7
17836.9
23058.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36145010020025030045151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155
#14
33.30.4
18.017.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.9
230
#18
58.21.2
51.652.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
19.90.7
17.717.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.8
44.71.2
44.245.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3464
#26
14.80.7
17.416.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.2
178
#7
36.91.2
32.133.3
Auto
Teleop
End